A significant leap is expected for generative AI… in 2028

Generative AI, that intelligent software that has become popular since 2023, could take a significant leap in quality in the future. However, the wait may be long, as studies indicate that it will not be until 2028 that we can see the most substantial change in Artificial Intelligence technology capable of generating content based on existing ones.

This implies that, despite the great improvements it has experienced in the last year, it will still have significant problems, such as the often questionable reliability of certain responses, as well as the possibility of making mistakes more easily. Therefore, all of this implies that the advancement of Artificial Intelligence still has a very long way to go for issues that are already being raised today.

Advances in AI

IDC, from Singapore, wanted to give their impressions regarding the path, progress, and challenges that generative Artificial Intelligence currently faces, and they have not hesitated to affirm that it is a technology that still has a lot to advance. In fact, taking into account the training time and the expansion of this new knowledge within the software industry, IDC estimates that these changes will not be truly significant until 2028.

In fact, IDC estimates that, by 2028, generative AI could be capable of creating 70% of the world’s software programming, a figure that can be overwhelming considering that an entire workforce would be at risk and that 2028 is relatively close.

The path traveled by generative AI’s

It’s hard not to think about everything that generative AI’s like ChatGPT, Bard, Grok, and many others are already capable of doing (the market is filling up with different systems with similar functionalities). They can improve employee productivity, but they can also directly replace their tasks (although, in many cases, with questionable results), which has sparked a lot of controversy regarding a technology that, although it can be very effective, will continue to make mistakes that a human worker would not make.

There is still a long way to go in this sector, and also to what extent it is allowed for Artificial Intelligences to take over and destroy jobs. It is a potential industrial revolution that, unlike others due to the difficulty of redistributing human capital, could pose a danger to the labor market of tens of millions of skilled jobs worldwide.

Author: Daniel García

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